George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures
The current breakdown of the global supply chain threatens to change the future of the world. If this worsens, the fabric of the global economy will be
Paul Kolbe, Russia Matters
A colleague of mine who worked closely with Russian security services on sharing intelligence in the weeks and months after the 9/11 attacks was fond of pointing out a fundamental disconnect. He noted that while the United States wanted Russia to join the Global War on Terror (GWOT), the Russians just wanted the United States to join in the GWOC, the Global War on Chechnya.
Metin Gurcan, Al Monitor
Turkey's request from the United States for 40 F-16 fighter jets and 80 modernization kits for its existing aircraft caught many by surprise last week, coming amid a lingering crisis between the two NATO allies over Ankara's purchase of Russian S-400 air defense systems and its apparent intention to advance military cooperation with Russia.
Irina Busygina, PONARS Eurasia
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The term "shared neighborhood" is applied when a nation or a group of nations is geographically located between disproportionally larger states, relations with which are critically important for the smaller nations. The major powers are also, for various reasons, fixated on interacting with the smaller in-between nations. Importantly, the two-level game of interactions between the major powers and smaller nations is strongly conditioned... Читать дальше...
Mahir Ali, Dawn
THE ‘peaceful reunification' of Taiwan with the mainland is one part of Xi Jinping's ‘China Dream' that's unlikely to be rapidly realised. The most obvious alternative provides ample cause for alarm.
Marc Pierini, Carnegie
With twenty months left until Turkey's legislative and presidential elections, the political debate will be fierce. The West may choose to sit it out rather than see its relationship with Ankara deteriorate even further.
Brahma Chellaney, Project Syndicate
NEW DELHI - China's coercive expansionism may be taking its most dangerous turn yet. Recently, record-breaking numbersof Chinese military planes have entered Taiwan's "air defense identification zone," where the island's authorities assert the right to demand that aircraft identify themselves. China's muscle-flexing sends a clear message: it is serious about incorporating the island - and "reunifying" China - potentially by...
Martin Duffy, e-International Relations
When arriving in the Georgian capital, one is immediately stuck by echoes of the Cold War. Communist era nostalgia is redolent on Tblisi's beautiful streets. The ghost of Stalin seems to percolate the air. Poised in the maelstrom of historic territorial rivalry, Georgia suffers the collective pains of Russia, Armenia and Azerbaijan, as if it did not have crises enough of its own. War in Abkhazia and in South Ossetia are overwhelming for any post-Soviet state... Читать дальше...
Marcel Vaillant, Americas Quarterly
A prospective free trade deal could shake up South America's protectionist trade bloc — and China stands to benefit.
Peter Martin, ChinaFile
The daunting task of keeping up with Xi Jinping's foreign policy ambitions fell to Wang Yi. Born in Beijing in 1953, the same year as Xi, Wang also spent a good chunk of his adolescence as a "sent down" youth during the Cultural Revolution, when he spent eight years laboring on a farm in the northeast. Always a harder worker than others, Wang taught himself literature and history, a former classmate told the Christian Science Monitor. He was "quite open minded. He... Читать дальше...
James Forsyth, Spectator
The French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire has given a very frank interview to the New York Times. It is principally about tensions between Paris and Washington post AUKUS, but it also shows why Anglo-French relations are, sadly, only going to get worse.
Gideon Rachman, Financial Times
The US and China are engaged in a dangerous game of military poker over the future of the island
Linda Kinstler, 1843
n a Sunday morning in late September, a small crowd of mourners gathered in a cemetery in Kyiv to bury Vitaly Shishov, a 26-year-old Belarusian activist who had been living in exile in neighbouring Ukraine. In early August, Shishov went for a run and never came back. He was found hanging from a tree in a park near his home. His friends and supporters suspected foul play and the Ukrainian police opened a murder investigation.
R. O'Brien & A. Gray, 1945
France has been a Pacific power for centuries. She has been an American ally since the Revolution. Paris has a big role play in the Indo-Pacific for years to come.
East Asia Forum
The question now is how indebted Kishida will be to Abe and the party's right in framing policy strategies. Kishida's campaign and early rhetoric so far seems designed to pay homage to his liberal Kochikai roots while also embracing the positions of the Seiwakai nationalists.
Liam Hoare, New Statesman
By remaining chair of the People's Party, the scandal-hit Kurz will continue to wield power behind the scenes.
Rafael Behr, Guardian
The government is playing hardball over the Northern Ireland protocol. But EU patience is fast running out
Bonny Lin & David Sacks, Foreign Affairs
On October 1, the 72nd anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China, Beijing sent 38 military aircraft into Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone, the most it had ever sent in a single day. The following day, Beijing broke its record again by sending 39 aircraft into Taiwan's ADIZ. And then on October 4, it sent 56, shattering the daily record once more in a year in which China has flown military aircraft into the ADIZ on 173 days.
