David Petraeus with Lara Seligman, Foreign Policy
The former U.S. commander and CIA director says Iran’s “very fragile” situation may limit its response.
Xiao Geng & Andrew Sheng, PS
The unfolding Sino-American conflict is far less cut and dried than the Cold War was. Minimizing the fallout will require both sides to recognize that, in an interconnected world, efforts to strengthen their own position become self-defeating when they undermine global stability and dynamism.
Nobumasa Akiyama, East Asia Forum
On 20 November 2019, Shinzo Abe became Japan’s longest serving prime minister. Abe has attempted to broaden the scope of Japan’s diplomacy by taking an active approach to foreign policy and national security. Under the Abe administration, Japan has sought to simultaneously act as a guardian of the liberal international order and as a loyal ally of the United States. Particularly in the face of US President Donald Trump’s growing inclination towards an ‘America First’ policy agenda... Читать дальше...
Jacek Bartosiak, Geopolitical Futures
Of all the military reforms Russia underwent as an empire, a Soviet Union and then a federation, none were as revolutionary as those of the late 2000s, when Anatoly Serdyukov ushered the armed forces out of the 20th century and into the era of modern warfare.
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Kim Ghattas, The Atlantic
Ellie Geranmayeh, Politico EU
Europe’s worst predictions are becoming reality.
Dexter Filkins, New Yorker
The killing of Qassem Suleimani, the Iranian commander targeted by an American strike Thursday night, is the most consequential act taken against the regime in Tehran in thirty years—even if we don’t know what those consequences will be. One thing is clear: we’re entering a dangerous period, in which the conflict between the two countries could easily spin out of control.
Andrew Exum, The Atlantic
The killing of Qassem Soleimani robs the regime of the central figure for its ambitions in the Middle East.
