NFL DFS Week 13: Can’t Go Wrong With a Dolphins Stack

Quarterbacks

Tua put up a stinker last week but faced a tough Jets defense. This week should be pretty different vs. a Commanders secondary that has allowed the most DFS points to opposing passers this season. Expect Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle to benefit in this game, which has the highest total of the week at SI Sportsbook.

Stroud is not just in the Rookie of the Year conversion; he’s in the MVP conversation as well. Stroud finished as the QB4 last week and I expect him to play well again this week at home vs. Denver. Denver’s defense has been much better of late, but for the season, it has allowed the 11th-most DFS points to opposing quarterbacks. This game has the third-highest total of the week at SI Sportsbook, and I don’t see it all coming from Denver.

This Niners-Eagles matchup is bound to be the game of the week. SI Sportsbook has the total as the second-highest of the slate. The offenses are closely matched with each team scoring exactly 28.2 points per game this season; however, the Eagles have a much more generous defense -- allowing 22.2 points per game to opponents and the most DFS points to opposing quarterbacks across their last three contests.

Running Backs

The receiving room is pretty beat up in New Orleans with Michael Thomas on IR and Rashid Shaheed and Chris Olave suffering injuries last Sunday that could limit them this weekend. This is the perfect spot for Kamara to flash his receiving skills. The Lions have allowed the second-most yards per target to opposing runners this season (6.82), and no running back has been targeted more this season than Kamara, who is averaging 7.6 targets per game.

It’s hard to say who will go off in this matchup -- it could be both runners vs. this Arizona defense that has allowed the second-most DFS points to opposing runners this year. Warren is the more explosive runner, and he’s got a lower salary, but Harris averaged 6.6 yards per carry last week on 15 attempts, putting up big numbers for those who invested.

De’Von Achane could be back, which might limit Mostert a bit, but there should be enough to go around vs. the Commanders. Mostert’s 13 rushing touchdowns are the most in the NFL so far this season and he’s averaging an impressive 5.2 yards per carry.

Wide Receivers

Are you noticing a theme here? Start Dolphins! Yes, they will be chalk, but they are good chalk. Hill leads the NFL in receiving yards and touchdowns, and he’s facing the team that has allowed the most yards per target and the most receiving touchdowns to wideouts this year.

No team has allowed more DFS points to opposing wideouts this year than the Eagles. This game could be a shootout, and Aiyuk, who has the seventh-most receiving yards per game this season, should be front and center.

There’s a new regime in Carolina, and we’ll be looking for a spark on Sunday. We know Thielen is Bryce Young’s favorite target, and he should have no trouble connecting with the veteran vs. a Tampa Bay secondary that has allowed the fourth-most DFS points to opposing wide receivers this season.

If we’re using a lot of Dolphins, we should also send some points back the other way in hopes this game total stays high. No team has more passing attempts than the Commanders, and McLaurin is the top target in this offense.

Tight Ends

The Saints offense is suffering from a lot of injuries, and it’s the exact spot where they will get creative with Hill. I don’t know whether he will score points as a passer, receiver or runner, but it doesn’t matter. The matchup vs. Detroit offers plenty of opportunities for Hill to put up solid numbers.

No team has allowed more DFS points to the position than the Broncos. For the season, Schultz is the TE7, and he has finished in the top nine in six of his last eight. Look for Stroud to send the ball his way.