ASTON VILLA welcome Manchester United to Villa Park on Sunday for their important Premier League encounter.
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Manchester United make the daunting trip to Villa Park on Sunday to take on Unai Emery’s buoyant Aston Villa in the Premier League.
It had already looked a tricky fixture on paper, and now it looks even tougher with the hosts having recorded an amazing 1-0 victory over Bayern Munich in the Champions League midweek.
Confidence couldn’t be much higher for Villa following that result AND four victories in their opening six matches of the campaign to leave them two points behind leaders Liverpool.
Since Unai Emery’s first Premier League game in charge of Aston Villa, only Manchester City (85), Liverpool (84) and Arsenal (81) have picked up more home points than the Villans (74).
The same cannot be said for travelling Manchester United, who’ve failed to win any of their last four in all competitions.
The Red Devils surrendered a two-goal lead against Porto on Thursday, and were eventually thrilled to get a point courtesy of Harry Maguire.
Nevertheless, Erik ten Hag is under huge pressure to deliver a result this weekend, and he’ll have to do it without suspended captain Bruno Fernandes.
United are currently 13th in the Premier League table having lost three of their first six games – and their seven points is their joint fewest after six games of a Premier League season.
Since the Dutchman joined the club in 2022, no Premier League club have conceded three or more goals in a match more times in all competitions than United’s 24.
However, there is a glimmer of hope in that Aston Villa have won just one of their last 25 Premier League home games against Manchester United.
Odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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I see very few reasons why we wouldn’t back Aston Villa to win this contest, and win it handsomely.
The Villans are flying high after their historic win over Bayern Munich in the Champions League, and should put that confidence to good use against a side who’ve conceded three in each of their last two outings.
Manchester United have lost eight Premier League matches by a margin of three or more goals under Erik ten Hag. They are also without captain Bruno Fernandes, who misses just his eighth league game since joining. United are winless in their last four (D1 L3) and have failed to score in their last three without the Portuguese international.
He’s a big miss for United, who’ve got the FIFTH highest xGC (expected goals conceded) in the division.
If we expect Aston Villa to score a few, then forward Ollie Watkins should be involved.
The England international, 29, has scored four in his last three Premier League outings and has been directly involved in 55 goals in 67 Premier League appearances under Unai Emery (36 goals, 19 assists).
Only Erling Haaland (65) and Mohamed Salah (60) have scored or assisted more goals in that time. He’s registered the most efforts on target for his side and none of his colleagues can match his xG of 3.50.
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