PINATUBO is the clear trends pick for the first Classic of 2020.
Eight of the past 10 Guineas heroes won last time out so we can cross out plenty of this year’s hopefuls.
Al Suhail, Arizona, Juan Elcano, Kinross, Mums Tipple, New World Tapestry, Persuasion and Wichita fall here.
Winning a Group race before heading to Newmarket is a big factor.
That is missing from the CVs of Cepheus and Starcat who look outclassed at Classic level.
Kenzai Warrior is the next to go as he’s too low in the official ratings at 102 for a Guineas winner.
Royal Dornoch has a negative in that he was beaten on his racecourse debut, which doesn’t fit the stats.
That leaves us with three — Pinatubo, Military March and Kameko.
An each-way bet on the other two could pay dividends but the trends all point to class act Pinatubo.
Even missing out the spring trials shouldn’t mess with the trends as seven of the past eight winners were on comeback.
