MANILA, Philippines – Typhoon Leon (Kong-rey) strengthened further over the Philippine Sea before dawn on Wednesday, October 30, prompting the weather bureau to raise Signal No. 3 for portions of extreme Northern Luzon.
Leon now has maximum sustained winds of 165 kilometers per hour from the previous 155 km/h, said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) in a briefing past 5 am on Wednesday. Its gustiness is now up to 205 km/h from 190 km/h.
Leon is still expected to rapidly intensify into a super typhoon, possibly by early Thursday, October 31, although it may be downgraded back to a typhoon by Thursday afternoon.
Leon was located 395 kilometers east of Calayan, Cagayan, at 4 am on Wednesday. It maintained its speed, moving west northwest at 15 km/h.
The typhoon is heading for Taiwan’s eastern coast, where it could make landfall on Thursday afternoon. Taiwan is within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).
But PAGASA is not ruling out landfall in Batanes. Leon will be closest to the province between early morning and noon of Thursday.
“Leon will likely be at or near super typhoon intensity during its closest point of approach to Batanes,” the weather bureau reiterated.
Storm-force winds (89 to 117 km/h), moderate to significant threat to life and property
Batanes
eastern part of Babuyan Islands (Babuyan Island)
Signal No. 2
Gale-force winds (62 to 88 km/h), minor to moderate threat to life and property
rest of Babuyan Islands
mainland Cagayan
northern and eastern parts of Isabela (Santo Tomas, Santa Maria, Quezon, San Mariano, Naguilian, Dinapigue, Delfin Albano, San Pablo, Ilagan City, Benito Soliven, Tumauini, Cabagan, Palanan, Quirino, Divilacan, Gamu, Mallig, Maconacon, Burgos, Cauayan City, San Guillermo, Angadanan, Cabatuan, Luna, Reina Mercedes, Roxas, Aurora, San Manuel)
Apayao
Kalinga
northern and eastern parts of Abra (Tineg, Lacub, Malibcong, Lagayan, San Juan, Lagangilang, Licuan-Baay, Daguioman)
eastern part of Mountain Province (Paracelis)
Ilocos Norte
Signal No. 1
Strong winds (39 to 61 km/h), minimal to minor threat to life and property
rest of Isabela
Quirino
Nueva Vizcaya
rest of Mountain Province
Ifugao
Benguet
rest of Abra
Ilocos Sur
La Union
Pangasinan
Nueva Ecija
Aurora
northeastern part of Tarlac (Camiling, San Clemente, Paniqui, Moncada, Anao, San Manuel, Pura, Ramos, Victoria, Gerona, Santa Ignacia, Tarlac City, La Paz)
northern part of Bulacan (Doña Remedios Trinidad, San Miguel)
northern part of Quezon (Infanta, General Nakar) including Polillo Islands
Camarines Norte
northern part of Camarines Sur (Siruma, Tinambac, Lagonoy, Garchitorena, Caramoan)
northern and eastern parts of Catanduanes (Pandan, Gigmoto, Bagamanoc, Panganiban, Viga, Baras, Caramoran)
The highest possible tropical cyclone wind signal due to Leon is Signal No. 4, “especially in Batanes and Babuyan Islands.” But PAGASA is not ruling out the raising of Signal No. 5 if Leon reaches super typhoon status.
“The wind flow coming towards the circulation” of the typhoon is bringing strong to gale-force gusts to localities outside wind signal areas, too:
Wednesday, October 30
Bataan, Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Mimaropa, Bicol, most of Visayas, Dinagat Islands
PAGASA also updated its rainfall forecast for Leon for the next three days. Rain is concentrated mainly in Northern Luzon, but a few areas in Southern Luzon and Central Luzon as well as Antique are also included in the outlook. All should watch out for floods and landslides.
Wednesday, October 30
Intense to torrential rain (more than 200 millimeters): Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands
Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Ilocos Norte, Apayao, Isabela, Occidental Mindoro
Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Ilocos Sur, Abra, Kalinga, Benguet, La Union, Pangasinan, Calamian Islands, Antique
Thursday, October 31
Intense to torrential rain (more than 200 mm): Batanes
Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Babuyan Islands
Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): mainland Cagayan, Occidental Mindoro, Ilocos Norte, Zambales, Bataan, Cavite, Batangas, Calamian Islands
Friday, November 1
Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Batanes
In addition, PAGASA warned Batanes and Cagayan including Babuyan Islands that they face a moderate to high risk of “life-threatening” storm surges “reaching 2 to 3 meters above normal tide levels” in the next 48 hours.
For sea conditions in the next 24 hours, the weather bureau provided this latest forecast:
Up to very rough or high seas (travel is risky for all vessels)
Seaboards of Batanes – waves up to 12 meters high
Seaboards of Babuyan Islands and northeastern mainland Cagayan – waves up to 10 meters high
Remaining eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan – waves up to 8 meters high
Seaboards of Isabela; remaining northern seaboard of mainland Cagayan – waves up to 7 meters high
Northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte – waves up to 6 meters high
Seaboard of northern Aurora – waves up to 4.5 meters high
Up to rough seas (small vessels should not venture out to sea)
Western seaboard of Ilocos Norte; remaining seaboard of Aurora; northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands; seaboard of Camarines Norte; northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes – waves up to 4 meters high
Seaboard of Ilocos Sur; northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar – waves up to 3.5 meters high
Eastern seaboards of mainland Quezon, Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, and Eastern Samar; remaining seaboards of Ilocos Region – waves up to 3 meters high
Up to moderate seas (small vessels should take precautionary measures or avoid sailing, if possible)
Seaboards of Zambales, Bataan, Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands, and Kalayaan Islands; western seaboard of northern Palawan; eastern seaboards of Surigao del Norte and Surigao del Sur – waves up to 2.5 meters high
Remaining seaboards of Luzon and Visayas – waves up to 2 meters high
After crossing Taiwan, Leon is expected to head for the East China Sea and exit PAR on Thursday evening or early Friday morning, November 1.
PAGASA said another landfall in mainland China is not being ruled out.
Leon is the Philippines’ 12th tropical cyclone for 2024, and the second for October. – Rappler.com
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