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The best bets on win total over/unders for all 32 NFL teams ahead of the 2024 season

There is no better way to kick off the start of the NFL season than talking about how it all ends.

Prognosticating is as much a tradition this time of year as players showing up to training camp in the best shape of their lives.

Related: NFL 2024 Award Picks: MVP, Super Bowl winner and more

Now that we’ve got a good look at each team’s roster — and how they should match-up with their opponents — we can make some real predictions on the win totals for each squad.

Here’s what our staff is betting on.

Arizona Cardinals (6.5)

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Over

Kyler Murray is healthy and has two rookie studs on offense in wideout Marvin Harrison Jr. and tailback Trey Benson. Not to mention a schedule featuring home games against the Commanders, Chargers and Patriots to go with trips to Carolina and Minnesota. I’ll bet they can find two more wins aside from those five.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr. is a fun duo, but the Cardinals’ roster is otherwise a mess in a tough NFC West. Come back to me in 2025.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

The Cardinals are lowkey… kinda fun? The roster isn’t there yet, but it’s undeniably better.

Prince Grimes: Under

The Cards offense should be fun to watch. I just don’t think they’ll stop anybody.

Cory Woodroof: Over

The Cardinals will be a sneaky good team this year; like a ceiling of second-best in the NFC West good. Maybe Kyler Murray plays well enough to get Comeback Player of the Year consideration?

Atlanta Falcons (9.5)

Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

It’s not that I don’t think the Falcons will be formidable this season, but it might take a minute for Kirk Cousins to prove he’s fully back after tearing his Achilles last year. Considering Atlanta opens with consecutive games versus Pittsburgh, at Philadelphia, versus Kansas City, versus New Orleans and versus Tampa Bay, we might not get to see this team’s true potential until Week 6 against the Panthers.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

Matthew Judon and Justin Simmons sand over what should be a solid complementary Falcons defense. Plus, sorry folks, but Kirk Cousins is #actually good.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

There you go, Atlanta. Take advantage of that soft NFC South schedule.

Prince Grimes: Over

They’re building something pretty good in Atlanta.

Cory Woodroof: Over

The Falcons have what they need to win the division, and from there, it’s anybody’s guess. There is a lot of untapped potential in that roster. Like…a LOT.

Baltimore Ravens (10.5)

Jessica Rapfogel-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Over

I know the schedule isn’t easy this year, but it genuinely feels like we’re sleeping on a Baltimore team that continues to win the offseason year after year while starting the reigning MVP at quarterback.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

I’m not sure if I like the Ravens to repeat as AFC North champions, but there’s no way I’m showing any great pessimism about Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry sharing a backfield together. CAN’T WAIT.

Christian D’Andrea: Under

That’s a lot of offensive line turnover paired with a brutal schedule.

Prince Grimes: Over

This team is as good as it gets on both sides of the ball.

Cory Woodroof: Under

The Ravens are destined to take at least a small step back this season, even with the addition of Derrick Henry. They’re just one of those teams that was so good last year that it’s hard not to see them regress a bit.

Buffalo Bills (10.5)

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

It says a lot about the AFC East that the Bills are likely to both hit the under here and still win the division.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

Josh Allen is a superhero — seriously, he might really own a red cape — but this is the worst Bills team of his career so far. It’ll show.

Christian D’Andrea: Under

This will still be a good team. Just not 11 wins good.

Prince Grimes: Under

A tough to beat team that will lose a ton of close games.

Cory Woodroof: Under

The Bills don’t have the roster right now to match what Josh Allen can do on the field. That doesn’t mean they’ll have a bad season, but 11 wins feels like a stretch.

Carolina Panthers (5.5)

Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

Carolina’s non-division opponents includes Chicago, Kansas City, Dallas, Arizona and Philadelphia. This team might win three games at most.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

There’s but one question we need to ask ourselves about these sad-sack Panthers: Carson Beck or Shedeur Sanders?

Christian D’Andrea: Under

Ew.

Prince Grimes: Under

I can’t believe this line isn’t smaller.

Cory Woodroof: Over

Don’t discount what the Panthers might be able to do this season with Ejiro Evero’s second season calling the defense and Bryce Young getting in a more comfortable offensive system with better weapons and a solid offensive line. It’s not to say they’ll make the playoffs, but they could win 7-8 games if their ceiling is what I think it is.

Chicago Bears (8.5)

David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Over

Just barely. I’m betting on the defense looking a lot stronger than most are expecting. I also think 10 wins is probably the ceiling for the Bears this year, albeit a very reachable one.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

Caleb Williams looks like he’s one of the league’s more precocious rookie QBs ever, and he’s supported by a dynamite receiving corps and elite defense (especially in the secondary). Chicago will be a LOT of fun to watch this fall.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

The defense was flying last season and Caleb Williams has the softest landing spot any No. 1 overall pick has ever seen.

Prince Grimes: Over

I’m sipping the Bears Kool-Aid. If Caleb Williams is good right away, they go over this number.

Cory Woodroof: Under

The NFC North is going to be a gauntlet, and it’s not necessarily fair to Caleb Williams to put such major expectations on his first year in the league with this schedule. On paper, this football team has what it takes to make the playoffs. However, six games against the division and runs through the NFC West and the AFC South will be tough on this football team. It’s not to say they can’t eclipse the line, but I’m not completely sold.

Cincinnati Bengals (10.5)

Blake Schuster: Under

This is one of the toughest lines to pick, but even with a healthy Burrow the Bengals have had 11+ wins just once since 2016.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

Sign me up for the Joe Burrow revenge tour. I want a front row seat to all the chaos.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

Is Joe Burrow worth two wins? Seems like, right?

Prince Grimes: Over

Like every team, this hinges on the health of the QB. But this is an 11-win team with Joe Burrow.

Cory Woodroof: Over

Joe Burrow coming back strong should be enough to capitalize on what I think will be a down year in the AFC North.

Cleveland Browns (8.5)

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

I hate this line. The Browns look destined for eight wins with their schedule, but it’s hard to count on too many more after that. I’ll bet on the defense holding up it’s end of the bargain, but the offense is too shaky to trust.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

Sorry Myles Garrett and Nick Chubb, but Deshaun Watson, who once faced more than 20 allegations of sexual misconduct in what the NFL would later characterize as “predatory” behavior, is thoroughly washed up. The window is closed.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

That’s an elite defense, which grants you nine wins or more in the AFC North.

Prince Grimes: Over

As washed as Deshaun Watson might be, they hit this over last year with a combination of quarterbacks who were equally bad — or worse.

Cory Woodroof: Under

The Browns got lucky last year with Joe Flacco balling out. The Deshaun Watson trade was always going to come back and bite this team in the butt. Cleveland has a good roster, but the quarterback position will hold it back.

Dallas Cowboys (9.5)

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Over

Dallas has racked up 12 wins each of the last three seasons, but if they come under 9 (in this NFC East) it probably costs Mike McCarthy his job.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

Have you seen the NFC? Have you seen the Cowboys? They are world-beaters from September-December. Let’s not mix up our narratives, people!

Christian D’Andrea: Under

It’s been a weird offseason.

Prince Grimes: Over

They won’t match last year’s 12 wins, but 10 should be doable for a team that’s still pretty good amid all the contract turmoil.

Cory Woodroof: Under

Losing Dan Quinn’s defensive mind, playing the contract complications game, not making any big splashes in free agency and putting Mike McCarthy in a lame duck season makes you think a major changing of the guard is coming for the Cowboys.

Denver Broncos (5.5)

Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

Bo Nix might not be bad! I don’t think I can say the same for the rest of the Bronocs.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

I give it six weeks before Sean Payton’s despair knows no bounds.

Christian D’Andrea: Under

Bo Nix is having a great preseason, which probably doesn’t mean anything but, hey, gotta take what you can get when you’re the Broncos.

Prince Grimes: Under

This roster is in shambles.

Cory Woodroof: Over

The Broncos will scrape together six or seven wins on Sean Payton’s hellbent drive alone. I don’t think they’ll be a playoff contender, but I do think they’ll be a tough out each week.

Detroit Lions (10.5)

Junfu Han-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

The Lions are extremely fun this year. They’ve also finished with 11+ wins once since 2014. And they followed that up with seven wins the next year. I’m not saying that’s going to happen after last season’s 12-win campaign, but the NFC North won’t be a cake walk.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

The Lions are a juggernaut. Seriously, I think Dan Campbell’s bunch is the most complete team in pro football from top to bottom. They are about to romp through the league.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

The secondary is fixed, the Lions will be better this fall.

Prince Grimes: Over

The Lions are good!

Cory Woodroof: Under

The Lions will have a target on their backs this season, and the roster is just too talented and the coaching staff too intact to doubt their chances at a substantial season. Eleven-plus wins are more than possible, but the NFC North will be a pain in the butt for all its contenders. Detroit getting to 10 wins and making noise as a Wild Card seed feels like the path.

Green Bay Packers (9.5)

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

We need to talk about the back half of the Packers schedule. Following a Week 10 bye, Green Bay goes at Bears, vs. 49ers, vs. Dolphins, at Lions, at Seahawks. That stretch right there is going to determine whether or not the Packers hit the over. It’s going to be extremely close.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

Jordan Love is a great, sneaky MVP candidate and the Packers are built well in all the right places. Another Green Bay rebuild executed to perfection.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

The NFC North won’t be easy, but a new defensive coordinator should help shore up the Packers’ biggest weakness (non-kicker department).

Prince Grimes: Over

Green Bay’s offense is going to be extremely fun to watch.

Cory Woodroof: Over

The Packers might be “top seed in the NFC” good this season. They’re my Super Bowl pick for the entire conference, so I think they’ll win more than 9 games this fall. Jordan Love could be a sneaky bet at MVP, too. Don’t sleep on Titletown this fall.

Houston Texans (9.5)

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Over

Yeah, this definitely feels low. The Texans might lose one AFC South game all year.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

Let’s see here. I don’t think the Texans should fear anyone in the AFC South and they have an MVP candidate QB and top-tier coach pulling all the strings of a roster laden with Pro Bowl-caliber talent. You do the math.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

This seems low. Does this feel low to you guys?

Prince Grimes: Over

This team is loaded. No way they don’t win at least 11 games.

Cory Woodroof: Over

The Texans will avoid the sophomore slump because of how aggressive they were to keep adding talent to the roster. Houston didn’t get complacent, and that will make a difference. Keeping Bobby Slowik as the offensive coordinator helps a lot.

Indianapolis Colts (8.5)

Blake Schuster: Over

The Colts couldn’t have asked for an easier schedule to end the season. From Dec. 1 on they go at Patriots, at Broncos, vs. Titans, at Giants and vs. Jaguars. They could legitimately win out. Now consider they also face the Jaguars, Vikings and Titans earlier in the season. Hammer the over.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

Shane Steichen guided the Colts to a borderline top-10 offense with Gardner Minshew. What do you think will happen with a cyborg like Anthony Richardson?

Christian D’Andrea: Under

I’m not on the Anthony Richardson hype train just yet.

Prince Grimes: Over

I’m still trying to figure out how they won nine games last year. But I do expect Indy to be better.

Cory Woodroof: Over

The AFC South isn’t going to be a very competitive division, but the Colts getting Anthony Richardson healthy to build on a surprise 2023 campaign has to feel good if you’re Indy. They won’t win the division, but they’ll be a feisty Wild Card team.

Jacksonville Jaguars (8.5)

(Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union)

Blake Schuster: Under

I really like Brian Thomas Jr. I’m not sure that’s going to be enough for Trevor Lawrence to get the Jaguars back in the playoff picture just yet.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

How the (mighty) Golden Boys with long blonde hair have fallen.

Christian D’Andrea: Under

The defensive additions make sense, but it feels like the Jags need another year to gel before emerging as contenders.

Prince Grimes: Over

They’ll be perfectly mid again. But that’s good enough for 9 wins.

Cory Woodroof: Under

Ryan Nielsen will work wonders with this defense, but the Texans and Colts will be better than Jacksonville on offense. I could see a world where the Jaguars sneak in to the AFC playoffs as a seven seed, but the division is just too tough to feel like they’ll be world-beaters.

Kansas City Chiefs (11.5)

(Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union)

Blake Schuster: Under

Here’s the thing: The Chiefs don’t have to hit this over to know they’re having a good season. In a weak AFC West, they just have to stay healthy and take care of business. Which is exactly what they did last year en route to an 11-win season and Super Bowl victory.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

Patrick Mahomes now has not one but two receivers who can take the top off the defense. And Chris Jones is fat and happy with a new contract at the center of a borderline elite Kansas City unit. Pray for the AFC West. Pray for the AFC, really.

Christian D’Andrea: Under

I expect some in-season lolly-gagging, a bunch of “the Chiefs have lost it” think-pieces from the worst writers you know, and a long playoff run.

Prince Grimes: Over

I expect KC to be the best team in the league.

Cory Woodroof: Over

The Chiefs will absolutely steamroll through the regular season en route to a third Super Bowl. The talent they’ve given Patrick Mahomes at wide receiver will decimate defenses all season long. Them’s just the breaks.

Las Vegas Raiders (6.5)

Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Over

Seven or eight wins feels right. Especially when Atlanta, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, Cleveland and Carolina all have to come to Vegas.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

Antonio Pierce has the pulse of his team and the Raiders do play a tough-nosed brand of football. They’re not going anywhere, but they will usually be competitive.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

Antonio Pierce had this defense playing like a top five unit to finish 2023.

Prince Grimes: Under

How long until Davante Adams forces his way out of here?

Cory Woodroof: Under

The Raiders feel like the classic overachiever from 2023 who will suffer from not having a good answer at quarterback. They could finish last in the AFC West.

Los Angeles Chargers (8.5)

Kiyoshi Mio-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

At least it’ll be entertaining. Well, unless you’re a Chargers fan who thinks Jim Harbaugh is going to fix everything in Year 1.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

Jim Harbaugh is not enough to wash the stink off these Chargers. It looks like another year of prime Justin Herbert is going to waste.

Christian D’Andrea: Under

No disrespect for Jim Harbaugh, but a winning record in Year One with this roster is a big ask.

Prince Grimes: Under

Who exactly is Justin Herbert throwing the ball to?

Cory Woodroof: Over

The Chargers have an elite quarterback, an excellent offensive line, a pretty decent defense and Jim Harbaugh coming back for his NFL revenge. The gaps on the roster will limit this team to a fringe playoff spot, but they will be a problem this year. Nine wins feels realistic.

Los Angeles Rams (8.5)

Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Over

I’m aligned with Robert. I think teams are going to breathe a little easier now that they don’t have to worry about Aaron Donald and forget that the rest of the defense is still pretty dang good.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

I love the Rams as a sneaky pick to potentially win the NFC. Sans the whole Aaron Donald retirement thing, they’re arguably better than when they won the Super Bowl two years ago.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

They’re a better team now than then were in 2023… when they won nine games.

Prince Grimes: Over

This team is going to scare a few contenders in the NFC.

Cory Woodroof: Under

Matthew Stafford’s health is going to be more and more of a problem for the Rams as he gets older, and losing Raheem Morris and Aaron Donald to lead the defense will sting. A resurgent Cardinals team and a fascinating Seahawks squad will make the Rams’ journey harder than expected to a winning season. One bad hit on Stafford could derail the entire season, and I don’t like that for Los Angeles.

Miami Dolphins (9.5)

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Over

The Dolphins may very well start 5-0 if it can handle the Bills in Miami and Seahawks in Seattle. If that happens, good luck putting a cap on the expectations for this team. Especially now that Tua believes in himself again.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

Mike McDaniel has gamed the regular season with his gimmicky offense and (kinda) gimmicky quarterback. Don’t bet on anything else, though.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

Mike McDaniel has a penchant for getting it done. In the regular season specifically.

Prince Grimes: Over

They might fold in the playoffs but this over is a lock.

Cory Woodroof: Over

The Dolphins are going to be very good in the regular season this year, but I’m still not betting on them in January to make a ton of noise until they can prove to be gritty and flashy at the same time. Calais Campbell may help there, though.

Minnesota Vikings (6.5)

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

It’s not just that their best healthy quarterback is Sam Darnold. It’s that the rest of the NFC North is significantly better and this team already has so many injuries and bad vibes.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

At the very least, because the Vikings have no expectations, they can’t hurt their fans. And that’s a win for Minnesotans in itself!

Christian D’Andrea: Over

I kinda… believe in Sam Darnold???

Prince Grimes: Under

Though it really does come down to Sam Darnold, because the rest of the team is not all that bad.

Cory Woodroof: Under

Kevin O’Connell is a very good coach, but you saw last year how much the Vikings struggled without consistent quarterback play. It’s entirely possible they get swept in the division or squeak out just a win or two, which will not be good enough with a treacherous schedule. It’s all about 2025 for Minnesota unless Sam Darnold pulls a Baker Mayfield.

 

New England Patriots (4.5)

Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

Oh, how the mighty have fallen. Oh, how sweet it is. Oh, please, let there be another rock bottom to hit before the Patriots roar back to life behind Drake Maye and doom us all for another 20 years.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

This team is [expletive] and is trying to work in a green young quarterback. Are we sure the Patriots aren’t tanking for Cooper Flagg?

Christian D’Andrea: Over

Even missing some key members, this team has the defense to get to five wins. Plus, no more Mac Jones.

Prince Grimes: Under

The Pats are going to be bad, but at least they have their QB of the future.

Cory Woodroof: Over

The Patriots will win at least five games this year. They won’t make the playoffs, but having the weight of 2020s Bill Belichick off their shoulders should free this team up a bit to at least win some goodwill games. I’m very curious to see if Drake Maye gets the full season. If he’s solid, consider New England as a trap game for good teams.

New Orleans Saints (7.5)

Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

Seven wins on the dot for this team. They’ll keep the NFC South playoff race interesting just long enough to tune in at the end.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

The Saints are guaranteed to win eight, maybe even nine uninspiring games and look absolutely atrocious doing it as long as Derek Carr is the quarterback and Dennis Allen is the coach.

Christian D’Andrea: Under

At some point the wheels have to come off for this team mired in salary cap hell.

Prince Grimes: Under

At some point the wheels have to come off for this team mired in salary cap hell.

Cory Woodroof: Over

The Saints will probably win 8-9 games, but this team has a hard ceiling. I like their floor, but it’s hard to have a lot of confidence past it.

New York Giants (6.5)

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

Daniel Jones is going to play the whole season (if he’s healthy) no matter what because his backup is Drew Lock, who consistently makes throws that would get him benched in a high school game. Actually, Jones might still have to play if he’s not healthy.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

How the heck are we not talking about Brian Daboll and Joe Schoen’s job security already?

Christian D’Andrea: Over

The Giants are capable of thriving against low expectations. And crumbling against reasonable ones.

Prince Grimes: Under

But it’ll be a competitive under. They’ll look better while losing because, well, it’s hard to look worse than they did last year.

Cory Woodroof: Under

The Giants trotting out Daniel Jones feels like a bad idea. The trenches will win this team some games, but it feels like New York will be picking high in next year’s NFL Draft.

New York Jets (9.5)

Candice Ward-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

In what world is a 40-year-old Aaron Rodgers on a repaired Achilles leading this team to 10 wins? Even if he does everything perfect on the field, these are the Jets we’re talking about. Something else will go horribly wrong.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

Aaron Rodgers is 40 and coming off an Achilles tear. Are we sure he will even be healthy heading into November? Watching these Jets feels like watching the Chicago Bears circa 2004.

Christian D’Andrea: Under

The defense is magnificent. Aaron Rodgers turns 41 this December and, the last time we saw him in 2022, put together his least efficient season as a starter.

Prince Grimes: Under

Never seen a more 9-win team than the Jets.

Cory Woodroof: Over

Alright, I’ll be that guy. If Aaron Rodgers plays even somewhat competently, this team will win 10 games and finally cash in on a loaded roster. Breece Hall will be a superstar and can take over the offense if Rodgers has off days. The Jets won’t be a serious Super Bowl contenders once January rolls around, but they’ll be good enough to matter.

Philadelphia Eagles (10.5)

John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Over

No Jason Kelce, no problem? Last year’s collapse should have this team ready to stay locked in all season long.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

Competent coaching and an all-worldly tailback like Saquon Barkley will do wonders.

Christian D’Andrea: Under

What about last year’s finish suggests this team can win 11 games?

Prince Grimes: Over

This roster is too talented to fall short again. That’ll be Nick Sirianni’s job if they do.

Cory Woodroof: Over

The NFC East will not be what it normally is, which means the most talented team will gut out what it needs to win the division. Philly will get 11 wins and then go from there.

Pittsburgh Steelers (7.5)

(Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images)

Blake Schuster: Over

Do you know the last time Mike Tomlin won fewer than eight games? Never. As in it’s literally never happened in his 16 year run as a head coach.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

Mike Tomlin could win 10 games without a starting quarterback. Full stop. (He also basically already did.)

Christian D’Andrea: Over

It’s Mike Tomlin.

Prince Grimes: Over

Oddsmakers must not be familiar with Mike Tomlin’s game.

Cory Woodroof: Over

This feels like an 8-9 team. Mike Tomlin always seems to figure things out, so I’ll give him the benefit of the doubt to nail the over.

San Francisco 49ers (11.5)

Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Over

12 wins on the dot. Mostly because half of those wins will come against the Vikings, Patriots, Bills, Bears, Jets and Buccaneers.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

The defense is in tatters by the 49ers’ high standards and potentially offloading Brandon Aiyuk without a viable replacement would be a disaster for the 2024 iteration of this team.

Christian D’Andrea: Under

I have just enough questions about the health of this defense to doubt Kyle Shanahan. Slightly.

Prince Grimes: Over

The Niners won’t be as good as they were last year, but I think an easy early schedule gets them off to a fast start and they hit this over.

Cory Woodroof: Under

The 49ers have two of their best players holding out right now, and the defense doesn’t look as talented as it did a year ago. San Francisco will still make the playoffs and cause problems, just maybe not as many as you’re expecting.

Seattle Seahawks (7.5)

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Over

One of the most talented offenses no one really seems to be talking about. DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kenneth Walker III are all studs. The Seahawks just need their offensive line to hold up and their home crowd will do the rest.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

I’m here for another Geno Smith redemption year buoyed by Mike Macdonald’s exotic defense that harrasses quarterbacks to no end.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

Mike Macdonald has proven he can wring the most out of his defensive players, and the Seahawks have a handful of should-be stars.

Prince Grimes: Over

I like this roster. And like the fellas said, Macdonald should be a big difference maker for the defense.

Cory Woodroof: Over

Seattle will be a tough out this year, as a Mike Macdonald defensive scheme adding in these pieces will cause lots of headaches for opposing offenses. The offense should be decent enough to balance things out, too.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7.5)

Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Over

The NFC South is so, so gross. But someone’s gotta win it and this is the least cursed of those squads.

Robert Zeglinski: Over

The Fighting Baker Mayfields won’t make the same noise that they did last year, but they’re not falling off a cliff, either.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

Can’t bet against Mike Evans.

Prince Grimes: Over

Can’t believe I’m trusting Baker Mayfield to string together consecutive decent seasons, but here we are.

Cory Woodroof: Under

You wonder when the gas runs out on the Baker Mayfield renaissance. If it doesn’t I’ll be wrong, but it feels like Tampa Bay could take a step back.

Tennessee Titans (6.5)

Steve Roberts-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

Their starting quarterback has his own line of cologne. It’s mayo-scented. Punt this team into the sun and start over.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

If anyone knows what the plan is in Tennessee, please tell me. I’m not sure the Titans know what it is, either.

Christian D’Andrea: Over

There’s enough talent here for seven wins. Maybe not too much more, though.

Prince Grimes: Under

I am highly intrigued by the pieces on this offense though.

Cory Woodroof: Over

As long as Will Levis is borderline competent, the Titans can overcome expectations and put together a seven-win season. However, if they didn’t, I wouldn’t be shocked since so much is riding on Levis’ ceiling.

Washington Commanders (6.5)

Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

Blake Schuster: Under

Kliff Kingsbury went 5-10-1 his first year as head coach in Arizona with Rookie of the Year Kyler Murray at QB. He might need a minute or two to get things figured out in Washington.

Robert Zeglinski: Under

Consider me a member of the Jayden Daniels hater club. Quarterbacks with his college profile seldom succeed in the NFL. And he’s being coached by Kliff “I Write My Playbook On Truck Stop Napkins” Kingsbury. Gross.

Christian D’Andrea: Under

This teardown is gonna need more than a year to see through.

Prince Grimes: Under

Hopefully this calms expectations for fans in the district. But I doubt it.

Cory Woodroof: Over

Dan Quinn is a good coach, and he’ll make this a competitive team out of the gate. Jayden Daniels will have his ups and downs, but seven wins feels entirely possible.

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