Whether it comes or not, but the fact is that since the first week of August, there has been a talk of possible recession in the US. The first reaction was that of panic and then as usual, across the globe a trade got in motion to sell possible stocks and sectors which are going to get hit. There is enough evidence to show that if there is a recession then it is the metal sector stocks which get the hit first as the metal prices tend to come down. Already if one looks at performance of the metal stocks, they have under performed in the last two weeks. Now there is an inverse relationship between the falling price of metal and margins of the many user industries. So, while metal prices come down, metal stock gets hit, there is another set of companies which might end up gaining, in terms of margins and better bottomline. Given the fact that some of these companies have strong brands they should be on watch list for a possible short term tactical investing if and when the word “ R” is heard back on the street.
