How I Got The Election Wrong

I was one of those pundits who confidently predicted a Hillary Clinton win. I did this numerous times on television, in interviews with reporters, in formal and informal discussions with foreign diplomats and leaders, and more times than I can count with friends and family. I predicted Clinton would get 318 or 320 electoral votes and win the popular vote by five or six points.

While Donald Trump's victory leaves me deeply concerned about the future of our democracy, the physical safety of many of our citizens and global economic and political stability, it also forces me to both publicly acknowledge that I got it wrong and to ask myself how I made such a big mistake. As for the first point -- I got it very wrong. I am saddened, sorry and a bit embarrassed by that. Understanding the several reasons why got it wrong may help me in the future.

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