A new global temperature record is likely to be set in the next five years. It is also becoming increasingly likely that global warming will exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius, according to a report by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) in Geneva. +Get the most important news from Switzerland in your inbox To date, 2024 is considered to be the year with the highest average temperature ever measured. In its forecast for the period from 2025 to 2029, the WMO expects this record to be broken at least once with an 80% probability. According to the forecast, global warming will probably exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius on a five-year average by 2029. It was compiled under the leadership of the British Met Office using climate models from 15 institutions. What is the threat if it is permanently too warm? At the UN climate summit in Paris in 2015, it was decided to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees compared to the pre-industrial period. This target is now considered almost impossible to achieve.