How could a US attack on Iran unfold? Trump’s ‘timeline’ explained
Donald Trump has built up the largest concentration of US air power in the Middle East since 2003 as rumours of a conflict with Iran reach a boiling point.
The US military could begin strikes on Iran as soon as Saturday, but any potential conflict would likely last far longer, experts have said.
Recent nuclear talks with Iran have yielded little progress, and Trump is losing his patience: essentially telling Iran to make a deal or face the consequences.
Officials told CBS that Trump still hasn’t decided on whether to strike Iran yet, but the massive movement of US military signals that something might unfold in the next few days.
Aircraft have been positioned in Bahrain, the UAE, Jordan and Greece. Naval assets are currently in the Red Sea, Arabian Sea and near the Strait of Hormuz.
The world’s largest aircraft carrier, the USS Gerald R Ford, is currently sailing towards the Middle East, expected to reach the Arabian Sea by Sunday.
How could a US attack on Iran unfold?
Security expert Will Geddes told Metro yesterday that the US is likely mapping out Iran to ensure any potential strikes hit regime assets, rather than civilians.
‘Nuclear development capabilities and military assets would be the focus, ultimately pushing to disable the regime’s military power and pressure them to leave,’ he said.
Yesterday, satellite images showed that Iran has built a concrete shield over a new facility at a sensitive military site and covered it in soil.
They may be expecting a similar attack to that of the short conflict between Israel and Iran last summer, in which the US wiped out many nuclear facilities.
That attack began when B-2 stealth bombers left Missouri and headed towards Iran.
After entering the Middle East, the bombers struck nuclear sites at Fordo and Natanz, Iran, before leaving Iranian airspace and heading back to the US.
This conflict could play out a bit differently. Experts have said the military will likely use a similar modus operandi by targeting nuclear facilities and areas where government officials congregate.
Dr Bamo Nouri, a professor in International Relations at the University of West London, told Metro that a conflict launched by the US would be easy to start – but hard to control.
‘An outright war would carry enormous and unpredictable costs for both sides. For Washington, military strikes could backfire by unifying Iran domestically, accelerating its nuclear programme rather than halting it, and pulling the US into a prolonged regional confrontation,’ he explained.
‘For Iran, direct war with the United States would threaten regime stability and risk devastating infrastructure losses.’
Dr Nouri said that structurally, neither Iran nor the US would benefit from a full-scale war.
‘What we are seeing now is still pre-negotiation positioning, not even the first full stage of structured diplomacy, where both sides test leverage before any serious political concessions are put on the table,’ he said.
‘This still looks more like high-risk brinkmanship designed to shape negotiations rather than an imminent decision for all-out war.’
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