If the Golden Globes took place today, Wicked would be in the winner’s circle, according to the latest odds from Gold Derby.
While the box-office smashing adaptation of the beloved Broadway musical is contending four Golden Globes at the upcoming ceremony, is only predicted to win one: Cinematic and Box Office Achievement. This new category was created last year to honor a “popular” (pun intended) movie, with Barbie claiming the inaugural trophy. As for its other three bids, Wicked is forecasted to lose Best Film Comedy/Musical to Anora, Cynthia Erivo will miss out on Best Film Comedy/Musical Actress in favor of Anora‘s Mikey Madison, and Ariana Grande will be beaten in the Best Film Supporting Actress race by Emilia Pérez‘s Zoe Saldaña.
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More than 2,300 people have voted in Gold Derby’s prediction polls following the Globe nominations on Dec. 9, 2024, Below is a snapshot of our film odds and TV odds for the 82nd annual ceremony, updated on Dec. 27, 2024. Our predicted winners are denoted in gold. See how the odds and rankings have changed over time by examining our previous Golden Globe snapshots on Dec. 11 and Dec. 20.
Gold Derby’s Golden Globe odds are based on the combined forecasts of experts from major media outlets, our editors who cover awards year-round, the top 24 users with the best accuracy scores last year, and the mass of users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. Track the awards races by exploring all of our charts and graphs, and be sure to sound off in our forums.
The 82nd Golden Globe Awards will take place live at the Beverly Hilton Hotel on Jan. 5, 2025.
Note: Golden Globes producer Dick Clark Productions is owned by Penske Media Eldridge, a joint venture between Eldridge and Penske Media Corporation, which owns Gold Derby.
BEST FILM DRAMA
1. The Brutalist — 69/20
2. Conclave — 19/5
3. A Complete Unknown — 11/2
4. Dune: Part Two — 6/1
5. Nickel Boys — 13/2
6. September 5 — 7/1
BEST FILM DRAMA ACTRESS
1. Angelina Jolie (Maria) — 37/10
2. Nicole Kidman (Babygirl) — 4/1
3. Fernanda Torres (I’m Still Here) — 9/2
4. Pamela Anderson (The Last Showgirl) — 11/2
5. Tilda Swinton (The Room Next Door) — 13/2
6. Kate Winslet (Lee) — 7/1
BEST FILM DRAMA ACTOR
1. Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) — 18/5
2. Ralph Fiennes (Conclave) — 9/2
3. Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) — 9/2
4. Colman Domingo (Sing Sing) — 11/2
5. Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice) — 13/2
6. Daniel Craig (Queer) — 7/1
BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL
1. Anora — 18/5
2. Wicked — 4/1
3. Emilia Pérez — 9/2
4. The Substance — 6/1
5. A Real Pain — 6/1
6. Challengers — 15/2
BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTRESS
1. Mikey Madison (Anora) — 7/2
2. Cynthia Erivo (Wicked) — 9/2
3. Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Pérez) — 5/1
4. Demi Moore (The Substance) — 5/1
5. Zendaya (Challengers) — 7/1
6. Amy Adams (Nightbitch) — 7/1
BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTOR
1. Jesse Eisenberg (A Real Pain) — 37/10
2. Sebastian Stan (A Different Man) — 4/1
3. Glen Powell (Hit Man) — 9/2
4. Hugh Grant (Heretic) — 5/1
5. Gabriel LaBelle (Saturday Night) — 13/2
6. Jesse Plemons (Kinds of Kindness) — 7/1
BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) — 69/20
2. Ariana Grande (Wicked) — 19/5
3. Isabella Rossellini (Conclave) — 11/2
4. Felicity Jones (The Brutalist) — 11/2
5. Selena Gomez (Emilia Pérez) — 13/2
6. Margaret Qualley (The Substance) — 13/2
BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) — 10/3
2. Guy Pearce (The Brutalist) — 4/1
3. Denzel Washington (Gladiator II) — 5/1
4. Yura Borisov (Anora) — 11/2
5. Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice) — 13/2
6. Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown) — 7/1
BEST FILM DIRECTOR
1. Brady Corbet (The Brutalist) — 71/20
2. Sean Baker (Anora) — 9/2
3. Edward Berger (Conclave) — 5/1
4. Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez) — 5/1
5. Coralie Fargeat (The Substance) — 6/1
6. Payal Kapadia (All We Imagine as Light) — 7/1
BEST FILM SCREENPLAY
1. Anora — 69/20
2. Conclave — 9/2
3. A Real Pain — 5/1
4. The Brutalist — 11/2
5. The Substance — 6/1
6. Emilia Pérez — 7/1
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
1. The Wild Robot — 17/5
2. Flow — 4/1
3. Inside Out 2 — 5/1
4. Memoir of a Snail — 11/2
5. Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl — 13/2
6. Moana 2 — 7/1
BEST NON-ENGLISH FILM
1. Emilia Pérez — 17/5
2. All We Imagine as Light — 4/1
3. The Seed of the Sacred Fig — 5/1
4. I’m Still Here — 5/1
5. Vermiglio — 7/1
6. The Girl with the Needle — 7/1
BEST SCORE
1. Conclave — 19/5
2. The Brutalist — 4/1
3. Challengers — 5/1
4. The Wild Robot — 11/2
5. Emilia Pérez — 6/1
6. Dune: Part Two — 13/2
BEST SONG
1. The Wild Robot (“Kiss the Sky”) — 39/10
2. Emilia Pérez (“El Mal”) — 4/1
3. Emilia Pérez (“Mi Camino”) — 9/2
4. The Last Showgirl (“Beautiful That Way”) — 5/1
5. Better Man (“Forbidden Road”) — 13/2
6. Challengers (“Compress/Repress”) — 7/1
CINEMATIC AND BOX OFFICE ACHIEVEMENT
1. Wicked — 4/1
2. Deadpool and Wolverine — 6/1
3. Inside Out 2 — 13/2
4. Gladiator II — 8/1
5. The Wild Robot — 8/1
6. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice — 9/1
7. Alien: Romulus — 19/2
8. Twisters — 19/2
BEST DRAMA SERIES
1. Shōgun — 10/3
2. Slow Horses — 9/2
3. The Diplomat — 5/1
4. Mr. and Mrs. Smith — 6/1
5. The Day of the Jackal — 13/2
6. Squid Game — 13/2
BEST TV DRAMA ACTOR
1. Hiroyuki Sanada (Shōgun) — 7/2
2. Gary Oldman (Slow Horses) — 4/1
3. Eddie Redmayne (The Day of the Jackal) — 5/1
4. Jake Gyllenhaal (Presumed Innocent) — 11/2
5. Donald Glover (Mr. and Mrs. Smith) — 13/2
6. Billy Bob Thornton (Landman) — 13/2
BEST TV DRAMA ACTRESS
1. Anna Sawai (Shōgun) — 71/20
2. Keri Russell (The Diplomat) — 9/2
3. Kathy Bates (Matlock) — 9/2
4. Maya Erskine (Mr. and Mrs. Smith) — 6/1
5. Keira Knightley (Black Doves) — 6/1
6. Emma D’Arcy (House of the Dragon) — 7/1
BEST COMEDY SERIES
1. Hacks — 7/2
2. Nobody Wants This — 9/2
3. The Bear — 9/2
4. Only Murders in the Building — 11/2
5. Abbott Elementary — 13/2
6. The Gentlemen — 7/1
BEST TV COMEDY ACTOR
1. Adam Brody (Nobody Wants This) — 37/10
2. Jeremy Allen White (The Bear) — 4/1
3. Ted Danson (A Man on the Inside) — 5/1
4. Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building) — 11/2
5. Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building) — 13/2
6. Jason Segel (Shrinking) — 13/2
BEST TV COMEDY ACTRESS
1. Jean Smart (Hacks) — 17/5
2. Kristen Bell (Nobody Wants This) — 4/1
3. Ayo Edebiri (The Bear) — 5/1
4. Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary) — 6/1
5. Selena Gomez (Only Murders in the Building) — 13/2
6. Kathryn Hahn (Agatha All Along) — 7/1
BEST LIMITED SERIES/TV MOVIE
1. Baby Reindeer — 7/2
2. The Penguin — 9/2
3. Disclaimer — 5/1
4. Ripley — 11/2
5. True Detective: Night Country — 13/2
6. Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story — 13/2
BEST LIMITED/MOVIE ACTOR
1. Richard Gadd (Baby Reindeer) — 37/10
2. Colin Farrell (The Penguin) — 19/5
3. Andrew Scott (Ripley) — 9/2
4. Cooper Koch (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story) — 6/1
5. Kevin Kline (Disclaimer) — 6/1
6. Ewan McGregor (A Gentleman in Moscow) — 15/2
BEST LIMITED/MOVIE ACTRESS
1. Jodie Foster (True Detective: Night Country) — 18/5
2. Cristin Milioti (The Penguin) — 4/1
3. Cate Blanchett (Disclaimer) — 9/2
4. Sofia Vergara (Griselda) — 11/2
5. Naomi Watts (Feud: Capote vs. The Swans) — 13/2
6. Kate Winslet (The Regime) — 7/1
BEST TV SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (The Bear) — 39/10
2. Tadanobu Asano (Shōgun) — 9/2
3. Jack Lowden (Slow Horses) — 9/2
4. Javier Bardem (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story) — 11/2
5. Harrison Ford (Shrinking) — 11/2
6. Diego Luna (La Maquina) — 7/1
BEST TV SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Jessica Gunning (Baby Reindeer) — 69/20
2. Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) — 4/1
3. Liza Colón-Zayas (The Bear) — 5/1
4. Allison Janney (The Diplomat) — 11/2
5. Kali Reis (True Detective: Night Country) — 13/2
6. Dakota Fanning (Ripley) — 7/1
BEST TV STAND-UP COMEDY PERFORMANCE
1. Nikki Glaser: Someday You’ll Die — 37/10
2. Jamie Foxx: What Had Happened Was — 39/10
3. Adam Sandler: Love You — 11/2
4. Seth Meyers: Dad Man Walking — 11/2
5. Ali Wong: Single Lady — 6/1
6. Ramy Youssef: More Feelings — 13/2
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