The 82nd Annual Golden Globe nominations will be announced by actors Mindy Kaling and Morris Chestnut on Monday morning, Dec. 9, starting at 5:15am PT/8:15am ET on CBSNews.com/GoldenGlobes and the CBS News mobile app, and then on “CBS Mornings” starting 15 minutes later. More than 1,900 Gold Derby users as of this writing have made their nominations predictions in 11 TV categories. Those predictions have been combined to generate our official racetrack odds. Scroll down to see those odds, with our projected winners highlighted in gold.
If our consensus picks are correct, expect big things for “The Bear” and “Only Murders in the Building,” both of which are expected to receive five nominations, more than any other program. Though the Critics Choice Awards mostly snubbed “The Bear” this year, we’re betting on it for Best Comedy Series as well as noms across all of its eligible acting categories for leads Jeremy Allen White and Ayo Edebiri and supporting players Ebon Moss-Bachrach and Liza Colón-Zayas. As for “Only Murders,” it’s likely to receive the same nominations it got last year, for Best Comedy Series and for actors Steve Martin, Martin Short, Selena Gomez, and Meryl Streep.
But the two shows expected to win the most awards are “Shōgun” and “Baby Reindeer,” both of which are favored to prevail three times out of four predicted nominations. After dominating the Emmys in historic fashion, “Shōgun” is predicted to sweep the Golden Globe drama races with wins for Best Drama Series and for lead actors Hiroyuki Sanada and Anna Sawai. “Reindeer” will take top honors as Best TV Limited Series/Movie in addition to victories for lead actor Richard Gadd and supporting actress Jessica Gunning. Those wins would replicate the Emmy results. In fact, we’re currently predicting all of the Globe winners to be a rubber stamp of the Emmy picks.
Do you agree with our forecasts below? There’s still time to make or update your own predictions here in our predictions center before the nominations announcement on Dec. 9.
BEST DRAMA SERIES
“Shōgun” — 17/5
“Slow Horses” — 5/1
“Mr. and Mrs. Smith” — 13/2
“Presumed Innocent” — 15/2
“Squid Game” — 9/1
“The Diplomat” — 12/1
BEST TV DRAMA ACTOR
Hiroyuki Sanada, “Shōgun” — 7/2
Gary Oldman, “Slow Horses” — 9/2
Jake Gyllenhaal, “Presumed Innocent” — 11/2
Donald Glover, “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” — 7/1
Lee Jung-jae, “Squid Game” — 10/1
Walton Goggins, “Fallout” — 23/2
BEST TV DRAMA ACTRESS
Anna Sawai, “Shōgun” — 69/20
Keri Russell, “The Diplomat” — 9/2
Maya Erskine, “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” — 6/1
Kathy Bates, “Matlock” — 13/2
Sharon Horgan, “Bad Sisters” — 21/2
Emma D’Arcy, “House of the Dragon” — 14/1
BEST COMEDY SERIES
“Hacks” — 7/2
“The Bear” — 9/2
“Only Murders in the Building” — 11/2
“Abbott Elementary” — 7/1
“Nobody Wants This” — 9/1
“Shrinking” — 11/1
BEST TV COMEDY ACTOR
Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear” — 37/10
Steve Martin, “Only Murders in the Building” — 9/2
Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building” — 5/1
Brian Jordan Alvarez, “English Teacher” — 7/1
Jason Segel, “Shrinking” — 15/2
Adam Brody, “Nobody Wants This” — 10/1
BEST TV COMEDY ACTRESS
Jean Smart, “Hacks” — 69/20
Ayo Edebiri, “The Bear” — 4/1
Quinta Brunson, “Abbott Elementary” — 11/2
Selena Gomez, “Only Murders in the Building” — 13/2
Kristen Bell, “Nobody Wants This” — 7/1
Kathryn Hahn, “Agatha All Along” — 12/1
BEST TV LIMITED SERIES/MOVIE
“Baby Reindeer” — 17/5
“Ripley” — 5/1
“True Detective: Night Country” — 5/1
“Disclaimer” — 11/2
“The Penguin” — 7/1
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” — 9/1
BEST TV LIMITED/MOVIE ACTOR
Richard Gadd, “Baby Reindeer” — 71/20
Andrew Scott, “Ripley” — 4/1
Colin Farrell, “The Penguin” — 9/2
Kevin Kline, “Disclaimer” — 7/1
Tom Hollander, “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”
Cooper Koch, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” — 19/2
BEST TV LIMITED/MOVIE ACTRESS
Jodie Foster, “True Detective: Night Country” — 18/5
Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer” — 9/2
Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin” — 5/1
Sofia Vergara, “Griselda” — 13/2
Naomi Watts, “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” — 15/2
Nicole Kidman, “The Perfect Couple” — 21/2
BEST TV SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear” — 19/5
Tadanobu Asano, “Shōgun” — 4/1
Peter Sarsgaard, “Presumed Innocent” — 6/1
Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses” — 13/2
Harrison Ford, “Shrinking” — 10/1
Javier Bardem, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” — 11/1
BEST TV SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jessica Gunning, “Baby Reindeer” — 69/20
Hannah Einbinder, “Hacks” — 4/1
Liza Colón-Zayas, “The Bear” — 13/2
Kali Reis, “True Detective: Night Country” — 15/2
Meryl Streep, “Only Murders in the Building” — 19/2
Nava Mau, “Baby Reindeer” — 13/1
