If the latest college football rankings hold, this year's playoff is going to look even more different than previously expected.
When the committee announced it would be moving from a four-team to a 12-team playoff format, it seemed like Alabama would be a lock just about every year.
But, in the playoff's first year with a dozen teams, the Crimson Tide are on the outside looking in.
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Here's a look at the bracket projection, which includes five automatic bids and seven at-large selections. (Reminder: A team's seeding may not necessarily equal its ranking).
1. Oregon — Big Ten representative (11-0, 8-0)
2. Texas — SEC representative (10-1, 4-1); ranked third
3. Miami — ACC representative (10-1, 5-1); ranked sixth
4. Boise State — Mountain West representative (10-1, 7-0); ranked 11th
12. Arizona State — Big 12 representative (9-2, 6-2); ranked 16th
5. Ohio State (10-1, 7-1); ranked second
6. Penn State (10-1, 7-1); ranked fourth
7. Notre Dame (10-1); ranked fifth
8. Georgia (9-2, 6-2); ranked seventh
9. Tennessee (9-2, 5-2); ranked eighth
10. SMU (10-1, 7-0); ranked ninth. SMU leads the ACC, but the committee projects Miami will win the conference title.
11. Indiana (10-1, 7-1); ranked 10th
This means the first two teams out are Clemson (ranked 12th) and Alabama.
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Alabama and Ole Miss were in the projection last week, but after losing to Oklahoma and Florida, respectively, they are now 13th and 14th, respectively.
Indiana hung onto its projected spot despite getting blown out by Ohio State Saturday. The Hoosiers dropped from No. 5 to No. 10 in the nation.
Colorado had controlled its own College Football Playoff destiny, but after its loss to Kansas over the weekend, it will need a lot of help.
If 'Bama misses the playoff, it would be the first time since 2022, when the Tide finished the season No. 5. They have made the playoff eight of 10 times. They finished 13th in the country when they missed it in 2019.
Clemson faces No. 15 South Carolina, but with the teams in the bracket projection all having favorable matchups, a Tigers' win alone may not be enough.
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