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Mortgage rates have hardly budged this week, and we may not see them move much until we get more data showing how the economy is faring.
Labor market data has been relatively strong in recent months, and inflation ticked up slightly in October. This has made it less likely that the Federal Reserve will lower the federal funds rate at its meeting in December. Mortgage rates have been elevated as a result.
As more economic data is released, we could see mortgage rates fluctuate if there are any surprises.
If inflation remains stubborn, the Fed may not cut rates as much as expected in 2025. This means mortgage rates may only go down a little bit next year. In its latest housing forecast, Fannie Mae predicted that 30-year mortgage rates will drop to 6.30% by the end of 2025. In previous forecasts, Fannie Mae had been predicting that rates would drop into the 5% range in 2025.
Use our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments.
By clicking on "More details," you'll also see how much you'll pay over the entire length of your mortgage, including how much goes toward the principal vs. interest.
Average 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 6.60%, according to Zillow data. Rates increased substantially last month, averaging around 6.24% in October.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is the most popular home loan. With this type of mortgage, you'll pay back what you borrowed over 30 years, and your interest rate won't change for the life of the loan.
The lengthy 30-year term allows you to spread out your payments over a long period of time, meaning you can keep your monthly payments lower and more manageable. The trade-off is that you'll have a higher rate than you would with shorter terms, like a 15-year mortgage.
Average 15-year mortgage rates are around 6%, according to Zillow data. In October, 15-year rates averaged 5.56%, but they've been higher in recent weeks.
If you want the predictability that comes with a fixed rate but are looking to spend less on interest over the life of your loan, a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage might be a good fit for you. Because these terms are shorter and have lower rates than 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, you could potentially save tens of thousands of dollars in interest. However, you'll have a higher monthly payment than you would with a longer term.
Refinance rates are also elevated. In October, 30-year refinance rates averaged 6.35%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.67%. They're even higher this month.
If you're wondering if you should refinance now, you'll need to crunch the numbers to see if it makes sense. Some experts advise only refinancing if you can reduce your rate by a percentage point or more, but it really comes down to whether it works for your individual circumstances.
If you can save enough each month by refinancing that you can recoup your costs in a reasonable amount of time, it might be worth it. You can calculate this by dividing your closing costs by the amount you're saving on your monthly mortgage payment. So, if you paid $3,000 to refinance and were able to lower your monthly payment by $200, it would take you 15 months to break even on your refinance.
Here's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.
Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.
While many of these factors are out of your control, you can work on improving your credit score, paying off debt, and saving for a larger down payment to ensure you get the best rate possible.
The Fed increased the federal funds rate dramatically in 2022 and 2023 to try to slow economic growth and get inflation under control. Inflation has since slowed significantly, but it's still a bit above the Fed's 2% target rate.
Mortgage rates aren't directly impacted by changes to the federal funds rate, but they often trend up or down ahead of Fed policy moves. This is because mortgage rates change based on investor demand for mortgage-backed securities, and this demand is often impacted by how investors expect Fed policy to affect the broader economy.
Fed officials lowered rates at their meetings in September and November, and they're expected to continue cutting rates at future meetings. This should help mortgage rates trend down.
Mortgage rates went up last month, but where they go next depends on a lot of unknowns, so we'll need more data to see how inflation and the labor market are trending. So far this month, rates have held relatively steady. Don't expect substantial drops in November unless the economic outlook changes.
Mortgage rates are unlikely to drop back down to the historic lows of 2020 and 2021, when 30-year fixed rates fell below 3%. But rates are expected to continue to ease throughout the next year or two, and it's possible rates could ultimately settle in closer to 5% in a few years.
Most major forecasts expect mortgage rates to go down throughout 2025 as the Fed continues to lower its benchmark rate. But because mortgage rates are influenced by the economy, this forecast could change depending on how the economy evolves in 2025.
