Allan Lichtman, a historian known for accurately forecasting nine of the last ten US presidential elections, faced backlash after incorrectly predicting Kamala Harris’s victory in the latest election. Lichtman blamed disinformation, particularly online narratives amplified by Elon Musk and conservative media, for his error. Following a heated on-air debate with commentator Cenk Uygur, Lichtman announced his exit from X, choosing Bluesky as his new platform. His reliance on the “13 keys” model has sparked fresh scrutiny of election forecasting in the digital age.
