Incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz (R) is holding on to a slim lead over Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas) as the Texas Senate race hits its final week, according to a poll released Monday.
The survey conducted by The New York Times and Siena College shows Cruz leads with 50 percent support to 46 percent for Allred, an ex-NFL player and three-term House member. The lead is within the poll's margin of error.
Cruz has led throughout the campaign cycle, even as Democrats have tried to put the race on the map amid fears the party could lose Montana and, effectively, the Senate majority to Republicans, unless they flip a GOP seat.
However, Cruz is running behind former President Trump in the Lone Star State. Trump leads Vice President Harris by a 10-point margin — 52 percent to 42 percent — in a state he carried by 5 percentage points over President Biden four years ago.
According to the survey, Allred is outrunning Harris among a number of constituencies, with support from 76 percent of Black voters and 56 percent of Hispanic voters, compared to only 71 and 50 percent, respectively, for Harris.
He is also winning 9 percent of Republicans, while Harris is only snagging 6 percent.
Cruz has long been a GOP boogeymen to progressives, who have flooded each his opponents with big money.
Allred raised more than $30 million during the third quarter and has raked in nearly $60 million all told during his campaign.
A recent The Hill/Emerson College survey also showed the incumbent senator with a 1-point advantage in the home stretch. He led the previous iteration of the survey by 4 percentage points.
With only days to go before Election Day, Democrats appear to have outside chances to unseat two GOP senators. On top of the Texas battle, Independent Dan Osborn is attempting to pull off a shocker — with the help of money from Democratic groups — and defeat incumbent Sen. Deb Fischer (R) in ruby-red Nebraska.
Monday's Times poll showed Fischer holds a 2-point advantage over Osborn. Her lead is squarely within the margin of error.
The first recent independent survey of the Nebraska race comes after the Senate Leadership Fund, a top GOP outside group, pushed $3 million into the state to give Fischer a boost in the final weeks. Trump also cut an ad for her, and his 15-point lead over Harris will likely benefit Fischer.
The poll was conducted Oct. 23-26 among 1,180 likely voters. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.
