Updated July 13, 2024 New polls See all› Marist College Biden +2 Pew Research Center Trump +3 Marist College Biden +2Pew Research Center Trump +3 See all› Who’s leading the polls? National polling average July 13 ↓ Biden Biden 45% Trump Trump 47% Nate CohnChief political analyst Donald J. Trump’s lead in the national polls has grown since the debate, and he’s ahead by even more in most of the battleground states likely to decide the Electoral College. The New York Times/Siena College poll showed Trump up by six points among likely voters, and CNN/SSRS and Wall Street Journal polls showed Trump up six among registered voters. The post-debate polls are not uniformly in Trump’s favor, however: On Friday, NPR/PBS/Marist found President Biden with a two-point lead nationally. Updated July 12 Explore Electoral College scenarios A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win. If Biden and Trump can hold the states they carried by at least three percentage points in 2020, that leaves seven state...