Nate Silver's new election model shows RFK Jr. withdrawal 'didn't hurt Kamala'
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. recently announced he would suspend his campaign and endorse Donald Trump, but a new model released by pollster Nate Silver shows it "barely made any difference."
Kennedy, who endorsed Trump after reportedly reaching out to Vice President Kamala Harris about a potential cabinet position, was polling at around 5% when he dropped his run. Pundits have since questioned what the move might mean for the election in November.
Election forecaster Nate Silver, who recently told Fox News the election has "shifted" in favor of Harris, Saturday explained what he found in his latest analysis.
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"The RFK-less version of the model is ready!" Silver announced over the weekend. He added, "But it barely made any difference."
"Here's an explanation of the simple fix we made, and why it hasn’t yet moved the topline numbers," Silver added, sharing his own article entitled, "We removed RFK Jr. from our model. But it didn't hurt Kamala."
"Like everything else about his presidential campaign, Robert F. Kennedy’s withdrawal from the presidential race was weird," Silver's article states. "Both Trump and Kamala Harris have gained ground versus yesterday’s model run, the last one to include Kennedy. Harris’s polling average has improved from 48.0 percent yesterday to 48.8 percent today (+0.8), while Trump’s has increased from 43.7 to 44.8 (+1.1)."
Rep. Ted Lieu (D-CA) picked up on the new election model, writing, "Translation: RFK Jr. is irrelevant. And weird."