Hours after Donald Trump was wounded during an apparent assassination attempt at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, noted conservative pollster Frank Luntz tamped down hopes by conservatives that the former president will get a boost in his bid to win re-election after losing in 2020.
With multiple commenters on X, formerly Twitter, asserting that Trump will now stroll to a win, Luntz pushed back and said that, at best, the former president firmed up his support within his existing base.
Late Saturday night, Luntz took to X to proclaim, "In the end, voters will settle down and return to their candidate of choice. The people who move towards Trump out of sympathy will probably move back."
He then elaborated, "But what happened in PA will definitely impact the final vote, guaranteeing that every Trump voter will actually vote. Biden, or any other candidate the Democrats put up, will not have the same participation certainty. That participation gap is worth at least 1% and as much as 2%. And because it happened in Pennsylvania, the impact will be highest in Pennsylvania."
He then added a cautionary note.
"This doesn’t guarantee that Trump flips Pennsylvania. But the long and winding road for Joe Biden just became even longer and windier. Just as what happened to George Floyd had a lasting impact on tens of millions of Americans, the shooting of Donald Trump will be significantly consequential in a way the shooter never intended," he suggested.
You can see his post below:
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