Earlier this year, “Succession” garnered a whopping 15 Primetime Emmy nominations: a bid for Best Drama Series and 14 for acting. The HBO show from Jesse Armstrong became not just the most-nominated drama of the year but the most recognized show that year, while the 14 acting bids tied its own record from the previous year.
But how about this year? Does any show have a chance of getting close to the dizzying heights of “Succession?” Well, probably not. But we’ve combed through our odds chart to work out which of the shows in contention for Emmy nominations will garner the most bids. We’re going to go through drama, comedy, and limited series/TV movie separately and here we’ll start with drama. Below, we ranked our predicted Best Drama Series nominees in order of least predicted total nominations to most.
“The Curse” (Showtime) — 2
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV+) — 3
“Fallout” (Amazon Prime Video) — 4
“The Gilded Age” (HBO) — 5
“Mr and Mrs Smith” (Amazon Prime Video) — 6
“The Crown” (Netflix) — 8
“The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) — 9
“Shōgun” (FX) — 9
So, there we go. We are predicting that both “The Morning Show” and “Shōgun” will earn nine nominations each. “Shōgun” is predicted to earn dual bids in both Drama Actor and Drama Supporting Actor while we think it will pick up at least one bid in every acting category. Meanwhile, we think “The Morning Show” will only secure bids in four out of the six acting categories, but that series is predicted to reap double citations in each of Actress, Supporting Actress, and Supporting Actor. “The Crown” is also expected to do well with two predicted bids in each of the supporting categories.
In other areas, “Mr and Mrs Smith” is predicted to earn four guest acting bids and “The Gilded Age” is set to snag three nominations in Drama Supporting Actress alone along with two other bids. “The Curse” is set to disappoint with only one other bid aside from Drama Series — Drama Actress for double Oscar-winner Stone.
“Shōgun” is also predicted to be the night’s biggest winner in drama categories as we think it will win four awards in total — Drama Series, Drama Actress (Sawai), Drama Actor (Sanada), and Drama Guest Actor (Carbonell). We think “The Crown” will win two awards — Drama Supporting Actress (Debicki) and Drama Guest Actress (Foy) — and expect “The Morning Show” to pick up one win with a victory for Drama Supporting Actor (Crudup).
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