A new YouGov poll for Yahoo News shows that 52% of Americans now believe the central premise of Donald Trump’s hush money trial: that he did "falsify documents to conceal a hush money payment to a porn star." Just 22% say he did not, while roughly one-quarter say they don't know.
Nearly half of Americans said they were following the trial at least somewhat closely, at 48%, while 52% said they were not.
Still, the trial itself appears to be affecting public opinion. Before the trial began last month, the same poll found that 48% believed Trump had falsified documents—a 4-point increase and a 7-point increase since March 2023.
Overall approval of the trial has also gotten a sizable bump, from a 7-point margin last month to a 12-point margin now, 49% to 37%.
In short, Trump is losing by a lot, to borrow a phrase, on most counts. Here's how the three major pillars of the prosecution's case poll:
