The 30th annual Screen Actors Guild Awards will be presented on Saturday, Feb. 24 on Netflix and will celebrate the achievements of actors and stunt performers in both television and film. Scroll down for our official odds in all 15 categories with our winner predictions highlighted in gold.
Films “Barbie” and “Oppenheimer” enter the ceremony tied for the most nominations at four apiece. When winners are announced, our users expect Christopher Nolan’s film to win the most with three trophies, while Greta Gerwig’s will go home empty-handed. Another leading contender — Martin Scorsese’s “Killers of the Flower Moon” — earned three nominations and will win one prize for actress Lily Gladstone. The other films that we anticipate will be recognized include “The Holdovers” for supporting actress Da’Vine Joy Randolph and “John Wick: Chapter 4” for stunt ensemble.
“Succession” is the most nominated TV series of the year at SAG with five bids, but “Ted Lasso,” “The Bear” and “The Last of Us” are all close behind with four nominations each. We expect “Succession” and “The Bear” to continue their recent awards hot streaks, tying with three wins each, while “The Last of Us” will likely take Stunt Ensemble. “Beef” received three citations and will take home two of those awards.
These official odds for the Critics Choice Awards are derived from the predictions of our Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users, All-Star Top 24 and all our Users, who make up the largest and often savviest bloc of predictors. See below for our complete official odds in all 15 film and television categories, and make or update your predictions by Feb. 24 before the ceremony begins.
FILM
BEST FILM ENSEMBLE
Oppenheimer — 16/5
Barbie — 37/10
American Fiction — 9/2
Killers of the Flower Moon — 9/2
The Color Purple — 9/2
BEST FILM ACTRESS
Lily Gladstone, “Killers of the Flower Moon” — 69/20
Emma Stone, “Poor Things” — 7/2
Margot Robbie, “Barbie” — 9/2
Carey Mulligan, “Maestro” — 9/2
Annette Bening, “Nyad” — 9/2
BEST FILM ACTOR
Cillian Murphy, “Oppenheimer” — 17/5
Paul Giamatti, “The Holdovers” — 7/2
Bradley Cooper, “Maestro” — 9/2
Jeffrey Wright, “American Fiction” — 9/2
Colman Domingo, “Rustin” — 9/2
BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, “The Holdovers” — 31/10
Emily Blunt, “Oppenheimer” — 4/1
Danielle Brooks, “The Color Purple” — 4/1
Jodie Foster, “Nyad” — 9/2
Penélope Cruz, “Ferrari” — 9/2
BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTOR
Robert Downey Jr., “Oppenheimer” — 31/10
Ryan Gosling, “Barbie” — 39/10
Robert De Niro, “Killers of the Flower Moon” — 9/2
Sterling K. Brown, “American Fiction” — 9/2
Willem Dafoe, “Poor Things” — 9/2
BEST FILM STUNT ENSEMBLE
John Wick: Chapter 4 — 82/25
Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One — 37/10
Barbie — 9/2
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 — 9/2
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny — 9/2
TV
TV DRAMA ENSEMBLE
Succession — 31/10
The Last of Us — 4/1
The Morning Show — 9/2
The Crown — 9/2
The Gilded Age — 9/2
TV DRAMA ACTOR
Kieran Culkin, “Succession” — 16/5
Pedro Pascal, “The Last of Us” — 39/10
Matthew Macfadyen, “Succession” — 4/1
Billy Crudup, “The Morning Show” — 9/2
Brian Cox, “Succession” — 9/2
TV DRAMA ACTRESS
Sarah Snook, “Succession” — 31/10
Elizabeth Debicki, “The Crown” — 4/1
Bella Ramsey, “The Last of Us” — 4/1
Jennifer Aniston, “The Morning Show” — 9/2
Keri Russell, “The Diplomat” — 9/2
TV COMEDY ENSEMBLE
The Bear — 31/10
Ted Lasso — 39/10
Abbott Elementary — 4/1
Only Murders in the Building — 9/2
Barry — 9/2
TV COMEDY ACTOR
Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear” — 31/10
Jason Sudeikis, “Ted Lasso” — 4/1
Bill Hader, “Barry” — 9/2
Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear” — 9/2
Brett Goldstein, “Ted Lasso” — 9/2
TV COMEDY ACTRESS
Ayo Edebiri, “The Bear” — 31/10
Hannah Waddingham, “Ted Lasso” — 4/1
Quinta Brunson, “Abbott Elementary” — 4/1
Rachel Brosnahan, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 9/2
Alex Borstein, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 9/2
TV LIMITED/MOVIE ACTOR
Steven Yeun, “Beef” — 31/10
Jon Hamm, “Fargo” — 4/1
Matt Bomer, “Fellow Travelers” — 9/2
Tony Shalhoub, “Mr. Monk’s Last Case” — 9/2
David Oyelowo, “Lawmen: Bass Reeves” — 9/2
TV LIMITED/MOVIE ACTRESS
Ali Wong, “Beef” — 31/10
Brie Larson, “Lessons in Chemistry” — 39/10
Kathryn Hahn, “Tiny Beautiful Things” — 9/2
Uzo Aduba, “Painkiller” — 9/2
Bel Powley, “A Small Light” — 9/2
TV STUNT ENSEMBLE
The Last of Us — 16/5
Ahsoka — 4/1
The Mandalorian — 4/1
Barry — 9/2
Beef — 9/2
PREDICT the 2024 SAG Awards through February 24
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