Will Labour have any List MPs?
A Post/Freshwater poll puts Labour on 26% with only 34 MPs.
They won 46 electorates at the last election. So on this poll, even if they lose 12 electorates, they would get zero List MPs.
Even if they lose 16 electorates, they would only get in on the list Robertson, Tinetti, Verrall and Jackson. They lose Prime, Rurawhe, Little, Parker etc.
If Labour dropped below 26%, there would be a risk of overhang where they win more electorates than their share of the party vote.
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