Trading stock options, long the territory of professional investors, has become much more popular among individuals. You might be familiar with the basic concept. Instead of buying the stocks, you use options to bet on the future direction and magnitude of the move in the price of the stocks. If you predict correctly, you profit from the trade. If not, you lose.
There are many advanced options trading strategies you can use based on how volatile you think a particular stock or index will be and whether it will rise or fall. Others, including one known as the iron condor, are non-directional, or market neutral. That means you can profit from them no matter which direction the underlying stock or index moves.
Read on to learn how iron condors work, when trading them can be profitable while limiting risk, when to use them, and why they are called iron condors in the first place.
"The iron condor strategy gets its name from its depiction on a profit/loss diagram," says Robert R. Johnson, a professor at the Heider College of Business, Creighton University. "The graph looks like a bird with its head rising and wings outstretched."
An iron condor trade consists of two puts (one long and one short) and two calls (one long and one short), each with different strike prices but the same expiration dates. In the illustration above, the short put and the short call make up the body of the bird. The long put and long call make up the wings.
"The use of the word 'iron' comes from the fact this trade employs both calls and puts," notes Don Kaufman, co-founder and chief market strategist at the trading education firm TheoTrade.
The biggest advantage of an iron condor strategy is its high probability of profit. In part this is because the strategy is market neutral, meaning it doesn't matter whether the stock goes up or down in price. Profit is derived from the premiums collected from selling the two credit spreads of the iron condor. While this strategy creates limited profit, it also limits risk.
"An iron condor reaches its maximum gain if the stock price closes in between the call and put options sold," says Kaufman. "Therefore, how you select these short strikes will dictate the credit received and the probability of reaching maximum gain."
Recall that an iron condor is made up of four different options contracts that pair into two credit spreads, a bull put spread and a bear call spread. To create an iron condor, do the following:
Although it might sound a little counter-intuitive, an iron condor is most profitable when all four options expire out of the money. When one side or the other expires in the money, your losses can mount.
Suppose you believe Microsoft shares, which were trading at $280, will not move much over the next 30 days. You decide to take out an iron condor with a 30-day expiration.
Here are the steps to do that:
The table below shows actions taken along with metrics calculated by the OIC calculator and VFMDirect.com premium calculator.
Action | Option | Strike | Delta | Premium | 1 contract | 10 contracts |
Buy | Long put | $248 | -0.17 | -$3.23 | -$323 | -$3,230 |
Sell | Short put | $250 | -0.18 | +$3.61 | +$361 | +$3,610 |
Sell | Short call | $320 | 0.17 | +$3.41 | +$341 | +$3,410 |
Buy | Long call | $322 | 0.16 | -$3.06 | -$306 | -$3,060 |
Total credit | +$0.73 | +$73 | +$730 |
Remember, based on delta, there's just an 18% probability of ending ITM on the put side and a 17% probability on the call side. This translates to an 82% to 83% likelihood the option will show maximum profit.
Although your maximum profit, in this case, is capped at $730 for a 10 contract iron condor, your maximum losses are also capped. The maximum loss is the difference between either the long call and short call strikes or the long put and short put strikes minus total credit times the number of shares being optioned.
In this case, the difference between the strike prices is $2/$200/$2,000, depending on contract size. For a 10 contract iron condor, the calculation looks like this: $2,000 - $730 or $1,270, maximum potential loss. It would be up to you to decide whether the "bet" is worth it given an 82-83% chance of success.