CHELSEA have an almost one in three chance of drawing Real Madrid in the Champions League round of 16.
The Blues were pipped to top spot in Group H by Juventus after conceding a last-gasp equaliser to draw 3-3 with Zenit in mid-week.
As a runner-up, the Blues will face a group winner in the next phase.
And statistical analysis reveals Thomas Tuchel‘s side have a 32.3 per cent chance of getting Real Madrid in Monday’s last 16 draw.
They cannot draw another English club, however, ruling out Manchester City, Liverpool and Manchester United.
Chelsea also cannot get Juve, having been in the same group.
That leaves only four potential opponents – Madrid, Ajax, Lille and tournament second-favourites Bayern Munich.
However, with Carlo Ancelotti’s Real unable to draw Spanish teams Villarreal or Atletico Madrid – or Inter Milan of their own group – there is a higher probability that they will be the name drawn out of the hat with Chelsea.
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The Blues then have a 24.93 per cent chance of getting Lille – who can’t draw Paris Saint-Germain.
This leaves a 21.38 per cent chance each of getting Bayern or Ajax.
Drawing Real Madrid would see the two sides meet in a repeat of last season’s semi-final.
The Blues drew 1-1 in Madrid in April, before goals by Timo Werner and Mason Mount saw Madrid off at Stamford Bridge.
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