MANCHESTER UNITED have less than a ONE PER CENT chance of winning the Champions League, according to new data released.
But there is much more promising news for their fierce rivals.
City are the favourites for European glory with a 25 per cent chance of Pep Guardiola‘s men lifting the trophy.
The competition resumes this week in the last-16 stage, with City away at Sporting and United travelling to take on Atletico Madrid.
Data group FiveThirtyEight have devised a formula to work out who will be champions in May.
City have the best chance of righting last season’s wrong, where they were defeated in the final to fellow Prem side Chelsea.
Bayern Munich have a 20 per cent chance of triumphing, with Liverpool third favourites on 15 per cent.
Ajax have a 13 per cent shot at glory, while defending champs Chelsea have a 10 per cent chance of making it back-to-back trophies.
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Down as 11th favourites for glory are United on a figure below one per cent.
One positive is that United have been given a 40 per cent chance of getting past Atletico and into the round of 16.
City are 92 per cent certain to progress past Sporting, according to the stats.
If, as the research suggests United fail to win the Champions League, they also face a battle to even get into it next season.
And boss Ralf Rangnick has laid the blame squarely with his predecessor Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.
United are currently in fifth spot, one point behind West Ham a place above.
They are a mammoth 23 points behind table-toppers and fierce rivals Manchester City.
Saturday’s 1-1 draw at home to Southampton saw them fluff their chance to get into the top four.
Speaking after the game, Rangnick was keen to point out that they are playing catch-up due to issues BEFORE he came to the club.
On the prospect of missing out on a Champions League place, the 63-year-old said: “It has always been a concern since Ole left the club.
“That was one of the reasons why he probably had to leave the club and of course, results like today’s [Southampton draw] don’t make things any easier.
“Against Villa, Burnley and today we were one or 2-0 up and gave away two points.
“This can happen once but it shouldn’t happen three times and with those points the situation would be different but it’s not. This is what we have to face.
“We have to realise the truth and obviously with results like today’s it doesn’t make it any easier to finish fourth at the end.”
Solskjaer was sacked in November with the club in seventh spot – and 12 points off the top of the table.
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Cristiano Ronaldo is set for more misery in the Champions League, according to some recent research[/caption]